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Tag: Economic Update

Recessions – What, When, How, Why.

by Dave Conley on November 18, 2022.

The general economic model of a recession is that when unemployment rises, consumers are more likely to save than spend. This places pressure on businesses that rely on consumers’ income being spent. As a result, company earnings and stock prices decline, which can fuel a negative cycle of economic decline and negative expectations of returns.

People haven’t been this negative about the economy & investing since 2010.

by Dave Conley on September 30, 2022.

Just like we do not know when we are in a recession (until after it has started), the markets begin their recovery in the midst of bad news. It is critical top your wealth to understand this fact: the markets (stocks & bonds) typically reflect where the economy is headed in 3-6 months from today. If you wait for the news to tell you the markets have recovered, the economy has turned around you probably missed out on a good portion of the initial recovery.

What are you afraid of ?

by Dave Conley on September 23, 2022.

Most of us make the same mistake with our money over and over: We buy high (when the economy and markets are up) out of greed and sell low (when the economy and markets are down) out of fear, despite knowing on an intellectual level that it is a very bad idea.

Mid-Term Elections and Market Volatility

by Randy Chalmers on September 16, 2022.

There should be no shock to you when I state that 2022 has been a tumultuous year for the stock market. Seemingly everything that could happen to negatively affect the market, has. The lingering pandemic, inflation, monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve, Russia invading Ukraine, investor panic, and the cyclical mid-term election impact….? Mid-term...

What Advice Would you Give Yourself… 20 Years Ago?

by Dave Conley on August 26, 2022.

Who do you think you’ll be in a year? 5 years? 20 years? One of the big problems with setting goals, especially financial ones, is that we’re struggle with imagining our future selves. Remember what you imagined you’d be as an adult when you were a kid. I’m guessing there are some gaps between that dream and your current reality. When we talk about financial goals, we’re often talking about long timeframes.

Focusing on What Matters

by Dave Conley on August 5, 2022.

We only have so much time, energy, and attention. So how do we decide where to place our focus? To figure out the answer to that question, think about what you are focusing on (fretting over). Now ask yourself two questions: 1. Does it matter? 2. Can I control it?

Reasons for optimism in the second half of 2022

by Dave Conley on July 11, 2022.

While market optimists are scarce these days and the list of investor concerns is long, there are several historical patterns that provide reasons for optimism as the second half of 2022 gets underway. First is stocks’ record of strong bouncebacks from big two-quarter drops. The average gain over the next sixth months after the biggest...